Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 219.838775 265.045996 321.621372 399.347955 506.256976 652.864576 8.783328e+02
2025-02-02 180.339778 239.554040 325.455116 466.996508 712.818168 1168.074759 2.234130e+03
2025-02-09 146.415247 204.592968 296.034848 463.672845 802.398668 1586.815494 4.292101e+03
2025-02-16 126.751859 184.151971 280.259297 472.786511 918.217952 2209.069761 9.457593e+03
2025-02-23 113.548626 170.415914 270.895718 488.711783 1062.031597 3175.248474 2.731505e+04
2025-03-02 104.122958 160.815904 265.955211 511.354320 1246.230421 4809.783027 1.599990e+05
2025-03-09 94.823180 149.619435 255.037398 515.775327 1385.231756 6864.943703 1.065046e+07
2025-03-16 85.054400 136.009860 236.334742 493.965954 1418.025969 8530.719398 NaN
2025-03-23 80.109494 130.655844 233.677136 513.885238 1643.871120 14248.510531 NaN
2025-03-30 72.438876 119.058768 215.380246 483.493273 1619.210995 16771.928037 NaN
2025-04-06 68.396821 114.072331 210.935213 492.980531 1812.762963 28615.664102 NaN
2025-04-13 64.179690 108.228238 203.514559 490.865913 1949.057431 47060.045807 NaN
2025-04-20 63.169471 109.431411 214.535221 561.129724 2760.267117 492278.117629 NaN
2025-04-27 63.110860 112.771287 232.290085 672.551726 4509.150242 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 58.733215 106.044766 222.165875 666.999651 5062.923526 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 55.543689 101.547354 217.178786 682.217011 6119.480993 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 53.010287 98.203736 214.720518 708.965471 7782.338759 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 50.978239 95.752600 214.329899 747.338829 10502.083101 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 48.444819 91.811249 208.691648 754.877823 12760.718070 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 45.264269 86.001978 196.349028 717.834290 12844.204236 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 43.751033 84.077984 195.802992 751.652868 17836.855758 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 40.834025 78.450915 182.611335 700.178303 16493.631571 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 39.341772 76.214195 180.020337 716.169288 21453.107044 NaN NaN